As we enter the second half of the year, fixed-income investors may need to reevaluate their portfolio strategies based on the current market conditions. While the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady so far, there are expectations of rate cuts in the near future. This article will delve into potential tweaks that investors can make to maximize returns and manage risks in the fixed-income market.
Considering Duration for Better Returns
Kathy Jones from Charles Schwab suggests that adding some duration to the fixed-income portfolio could be beneficial in the current environment. By looking beyond Treasurys and focusing on longer maturities, investors can potentially secure higher yields without taking significant credit risks. Jones particularly recommends investment-grade corporate bonds and government agency mortgage-backed securities in the six- to seven-year time frame for attractive yields and potential price appreciation.
Jones advises investors to consider a barbell portfolio strategy with a mix of Treasurys on one end and investment-grade bonds and agency MBS on the other. This approach can provide a balance between safety and yield potential. Alternatively, investors can opt for a bond ladder with investment-grade corporates and agency MBS filling the middle rungs. JPMorgan also favors the barbell approach, anticipating a positively sloped yield curve by the end of 2025.
Amidst an inverted yield curve, Wells Fargo recommends that investors prioritize credit quality in their fixed-income investments. As uncertainties prevail over the next 6 to 18 months, focusing on high-quality securities such as municipal bonds and securitized products could mitigate risks. Wells Fargo finds high-quality residential MBS and municipal bonds appealing due to their relative value compared to investment-grade corporates.
Considering Tax Implications in Muni Bonds
For investors in the highest tax bracket, municipal bonds could offer tax advantages as they are free of federal taxes. With discussions around deficits and fiscal responsibility, there is a possibility of tax rates increasing in the future. Wells Fargo suggests looking into state and local general obligation and essential service revenue munis for potential investment opportunities.
Fixed-income investors should reassess their portfolios and consider making adjustments to capitalize on the changing market conditions. By incorporating elements such as duration, credit quality, and tax implications, investors can position themselves for better returns while managing risks effectively. As the outlook for interest rates evolves, staying nimble and proactive in portfolio management will be crucial for navigating the fixed-income landscape in the second half of the year.